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20xx年中央經(jīng)濟(jì)工作會(huì)議解讀(編輯修改稿)

2025-10-21 04:38 本頁(yè)面
 

【文章內(nèi)容簡(jiǎn)介】 不當(dāng),特別是制度不完善,住房的投資屬性很容易演變成投機(jī)行為。所以經(jīng)濟(jì)工作會(huì)議強(qiáng)調(diào),要堅(jiān)持“房子是用來(lái)住的,不是用來(lái)炒的”這一定位。在此基礎(chǔ)上,綜合運(yùn)用金融、土地、財(cái)稅、投資、立法等手段,加快研究建立符合國(guó)情、適應(yīng)市場(chǎng)規(guī)律的基礎(chǔ)性制度和長(zhǎng)效機(jī)制。既要抑制房地產(chǎn)泡沫,又要防止出現(xiàn)大起大落。金融政策宏觀上要管住貨幣,微觀信貸政策要支持合理自主購(gòu)買(mǎi),嚴(yán)格限制信貸資金流向投機(jī)性住房。土地政策要落實(shí)人地掛鉤政策,根據(jù)人口流動(dòng)情況分配建設(shè)用地指標(biāo),落實(shí)地方政府主體責(zé)任,房?jī)r(jià)上漲壓力大的城市,要合理增加土地供應(yīng),提高住宅用地比例,盤(pán)活城市限制和低效用地。在住房租賃政策上要堅(jiān)持購(gòu)租并舉,加快住房租賃市場(chǎng)立法,培育和規(guī)范發(fā)展住房租賃市場(chǎng),加快機(jī)構(gòu)化、規(guī)模化的租賃企業(yè)發(fā)展。在市場(chǎng)監(jiān)管政策上要加強(qiáng)住房市場(chǎng)的監(jiān)管和整頓,規(guī)范開(kāi)發(fā)銷(xiāo)售中介等行為,從根本上解決房地產(chǎn)高泡沫和高庫(kù)存并存的局面,必須調(diào)整和優(yōu)化城鎮(zhèn)化的布局和空間結(jié)構(gòu),功能集聚過(guò)大、人口壓力過(guò)大的城市要加快疏解部分城市功能,帶動(dòng)中小周邊城市的發(fā)展。四、關(guān)于明年經(jīng)濟(jì)體制改革的重點(diǎn)任務(wù)完成明年的目標(biāo)任務(wù)必須著力推進(jìn)關(guān)鍵性、基礎(chǔ)性的重大改革。第一,深化國(guó)企國(guó)資改革,混合所有制改革是國(guó)企改革的突破口,要按照完善治理、強(qiáng)化激勵(lì)、突出主業(yè)的要求,在電力、石油、天然氣、鐵路、民航、電信、軍工這幾大領(lǐng)域邁出實(shí)質(zhì)性步伐。加快推進(jìn)國(guó)有資本投資改革試點(diǎn)。第二,加強(qiáng)產(chǎn)權(quán)保護(hù)制度建設(shè),抓緊編撰民法典,加大對(duì)各種所有制組織和自然人財(cái)產(chǎn)權(quán)的保護(hù),堅(jiān)持有錯(cuò)必究,糾正甄別一批侵害企業(yè)產(chǎn)權(quán)的錯(cuò)案、冤案,保護(hù)企業(yè)家精神,支持企業(yè)家專(zhuān)心創(chuàng)新創(chuàng)業(yè)。第三,穩(wěn)妥推進(jìn)財(cái)稅和金融體制改革,落實(shí)推動(dòng)中央與地方財(cái)政事權(quán)和直屬責(zé)任劃分方案,加快制定中央和地方政府收入劃分總體方案,抓緊提出健全地方稅體系的方案。深入研究并積極穩(wěn)妥的推進(jìn)金融監(jiān)管體制改革,深化多層次資本市場(chǎng)體系改革,完善國(guó)有商業(yè)銀行 治理結(jié)構(gòu),有序推進(jìn)民營(yíng)銀行發(fā)展。此外,還要完善養(yǎng)老保險(xiǎn)的頂層設(shè)計(jì)方案,擴(kuò)大對(duì)外開(kāi)放。在改革的推進(jìn)機(jī)制上要完善跨部門(mén)的統(tǒng)籌機(jī)制,加強(qiáng)對(duì)財(cái)稅、金融、土地、城鎮(zhèn)化、社會(huì)保障、生態(tài)文明等基礎(chǔ)性重大改革的推進(jìn),既制定方案,又推動(dòng)落實(shí)。同時(shí)既要抓好重大改革的頂層設(shè)計(jì),也要充分調(diào)動(dòng)地方和基層推動(dòng)改革的積極性和主動(dòng)性。以上就是我對(duì)剛剛閉幕的中央經(jīng)濟(jì)工作會(huì)議自己學(xué)習(xí)的一點(diǎn)認(rèn)識(shí),僅供大家參考。第二篇:經(jīng)濟(jì)學(xué)家解讀中央經(jīng)濟(jì)工作會(huì)議經(jīng)濟(jì)學(xué)家解讀中央經(jīng)濟(jì)工作會(huì)議中國(guó)中央經(jīng)濟(jì)工作會(huì)議是個(gè)神秘的會(huì)議。為期三天的會(huì)議不對(duì)媒體開(kāi)放,會(huì)上政府領(lǐng)導(dǎo)人說(shuō)的話(huà)也從不對(duì)外公布。因此,會(huì)后國(guó)有媒體上發(fā)表的會(huì)議公報(bào)常常會(huì)被外界仔細(xì)研讀,以便找出未來(lái)政策走向的蛛絲馬跡。中央經(jīng)濟(jì)工作會(huì)議據(jù)信是中國(guó)領(lǐng)導(dǎo)層最重要的經(jīng)濟(jì)決策會(huì)議。今年會(huì)議釋放出的主要信息是,向公眾保證通過(guò)銀行貸款和政府支出刺激經(jīng)濟(jì)的政策會(huì)繼續(xù)下去。不過(guò),會(huì)議也發(fā)出這樣的信號(hào)──政府將采取比今年更嚴(yán)厲的措施限制刺激計(jì)劃帶來(lái)的任何過(guò)度現(xiàn)象。對(duì)文件進(jìn)行了研讀之后,會(huì)發(fā)現(xiàn)政府的政策在幾個(gè)具體領(lǐng)域發(fā)生了變化。以下列出了分析人士們認(rèn)為會(huì)議揭示的政府要優(yōu)先考慮的新問(wèn)題:遏制通脹會(huì)議提到商品房供給和農(nóng)業(yè)產(chǎn)能的擴(kuò)大,暗示政府可能會(huì)主要依靠供給相關(guān)政策來(lái)限制資產(chǎn)價(jià)格和農(nóng)產(chǎn)品價(jià)格的上漲。盡管這些措施長(zhǎng)期來(lái)看應(yīng)會(huì)發(fā)揮成效,卻不太可能阻止短期內(nèi)價(jià)格的上漲。──中國(guó)國(guó)際金融有限公司,哈繼銘調(diào)整支出重點(diǎn)他們希望把中國(guó)V型復(fù)蘇變成更均衡、更堅(jiān)實(shí)的增長(zhǎng)。此外,把刺激支出的重點(diǎn)從新增建設(shè)轉(zhuǎn)向教育和醫(yī)療,這被視為是實(shí)現(xiàn)這一目標(biāo)的重要方法。如果中國(guó)國(guó)內(nèi)生產(chǎn)總值(GDP)增速超過(guò)10%、通貨膨脹超過(guò)3%,政府將會(huì)加大政策調(diào)整的力度。──匯豐銀行(HSBC),屈宏斌刺激消費(fèi)現(xiàn)行的家電和汽車(chē)下鄉(xiāng)增值稅補(bǔ)貼會(huì)繼續(xù)下去,同樣,對(duì)二手車(chē)“以舊換新”的補(bǔ)貼也會(huì)繼續(xù),這和市場(chǎng)預(yù)期一致。政府還將繼續(xù)增加對(duì)低收入人群的退休金和收入補(bǔ)貼。我們認(rèn)為還會(huì)推出更多的措施,形式可能包括普遍漲工資、退休金覆蓋面擴(kuò)大、鼓勵(lì)服務(wù)性消費(fèi)。這符合我們的預(yù)期,我們認(rèn)為2010年家庭消費(fèi)的增長(zhǎng)將好轉(zhuǎn)。──瑞士銀行(UBS),汪濤住房保障措施在出口行業(yè)增長(zhǎng)恢復(fù)到一定水平之前,政府尚未準(zhǔn)備采取嚴(yán)厲措施給房地產(chǎn)市場(chǎng)降溫。──德意志銀行(Deutsche Bank),馬駿鼓勵(lì)城鎮(zhèn)化戶(hù)籍制度將部分放寬(但不會(huì)取消),以便加快城鎮(zhèn)化的步伐。我們認(rèn)為,在通常是定大方向的中央經(jīng)濟(jì)工作會(huì)議上宣布這樣一項(xiàng)具體的積極政策調(diào)整值得歡迎。我們認(rèn)為,這不會(huì)造成農(nóng)村居民立刻大量流入城鎮(zhèn)。相反,我們認(rèn)為,短期內(nèi),這更多的是賦予已經(jīng)住在城鎮(zhèn)的農(nóng)村流動(dòng)人口永久居住權(quán),讓他們可以享受城鎮(zhèn)居民的福利,比如醫(yī)療和教育。長(zhǎng)遠(yuǎn)來(lái)看,政策的調(diào)整很可能會(huì)推動(dòng)城鎮(zhèn)化過(guò)程;城鎮(zhèn)化是30年來(lái)推動(dòng)中國(guó)經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)的最重要的大趨勢(shì)之一。──高盛(Goldman Sachs),宋宇和喬虹避免政策走向急轉(zhuǎn)公報(bào)提到有必要調(diào)整增長(zhǎng)結(jié)構(gòu)的平衡,這是積極的信號(hào)。公告中沒(méi)有提到愿意容忍GDP增速放緩,也沒(méi)有提到推出更切實(shí)的經(jīng)濟(jì)改革。──蘇格蘭皇家銀行(Royal Bank of Scotland),貝哲民(Ben Simpfendorfer)China39。s annual Central Economic Work Conference, supposedly the leadership39。s most important gathering for decision making on the economy, is a mysterious three days of proceedings are closed to the press, and what government leaders say there is never the muniqu233。 that is published afterward in the state media is always closely read for hints of what policies may be on the way.(The full text of the Chineselanguage muniqu233。 can be read here.)The main message this year was to reassure the public that policies to stimulate the economy through bank lending and government spending would reassurance, however, was mixed with signs that the government would take a tougher line than this year on any excesses from the a close reading of the document shows some shift in government policies in several specific 39。s a summary of what analysts think the conference revealed about these new priorities:Controlling inflation.39。The conference mentioned the expansion of mercial housing supply and agricultural production capacity, implying it may rely primarily on supply policies to rein in the growth of asset prices and agricultural product these measures should be effective in the long run, they are unlikely to prevent prices from rising in the short term.39。Qu Hongbin, consumption.39。The current VAT subsidies on home appliances and small automobiles to rural areas will continue, as will the 39。cash for clunkers39。 deal, in line with market government will also continue to increase pension and ine subsidies to the think additional measures could e in the form of a broadbased wage increase, an expansion of pension coverage, and the promotion of services are in line with our forecast that the growth of household consumption will pick up in 2010.39。Jun Ma, Deutsche BankEncouraging urbanization.39。The family registration system will be partially relaxed(though not abolished)to speed up the pace of believe the announcement of such a concrete positive policy change like this at an otherwise often tonesetting conference should be do not think this will lead to an immediate and large movement of rural residents to , over the short term, we see it more as about granting rural migrants who are already living in cities the right to live there permanently and enjoy the benefits of urban residents, such as healthcare and the longer term, this change will likely facilitate the urbanization process which has been one of the most important mega
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