【正文】 ijing urging a revaluation, or create a backlash. One indication of the direction will be whether China will block the IMF from publishing a detailed summary of the board39。, it will have risen by the 25% Bergsten seeks by the end 2020. RESOURCE: Jason Dean . The Yuan39。s value against the dollar would trigger a wave of job losses and business bankruptcies that would cause major turbulence in society. As the chart below indicates, the relationship between the yuan39。 戴維斯，艾倫 2020 年，中國開始實(shí)施將人民幣與美元掛 鉤的政策。哪怕人民幣以平均為這個(gè)幅度一半的速度繼續(xù)升值 ── 這是一個(gè)很大的 “ 如果 ” ，那么到 2020 年年末，人民幣就會(huì)像伯格斯坦希望的那樣，升值 25%了。但他們也認(rèn)為，順差下降同樣在很大程度上反映了人民幣 2020 年到 2020 年升值的滯后影響。他認(rèn)為，美國應(yīng)當(dāng)尋求 “ 說服 ” 中國允許人民幣在未來兩到三年升值 20%到 25%。在這段時(shí)期，中國對(duì)美貿(mào)易順差大幅增長(zhǎng) 。問題在于影響有多大，當(dāng)前如此吸引關(guān)注，是否值得?；ㄆ旒瘓F(tuán)經(jīng)濟(jì)學(xué)家彭星表示，這種公開聲明非常少見，胡曉煉講話的語氣實(shí)際上越來越強(qiáng)了。 ” 另外一位熟悉評(píng)估的人士說，報(bào)告的結(jié)果與草案并沒有太大的變化。s currency policy, argues that the . should seek to 39。s stronger value were the culprit, one might expect the . trade deficit with China to have contracted more than America39。s executive board debated the China report on Monday, though none of the countries pushed China to boost its currency quickly. In China, the central bank had been explaining to the public how a flexible exchange rate can help the economy by alleviating inflation pressures and improving the effectiveness of moary policy. On Monday, before the IMF39。 was needed to reduce the undervaluation, Mr. Prasad said. Brazil largely backed the Chinese position on the currentaccount question, say several individuals.“Chinese officials said, they have done what they needed to do and the rest of the world should give them room to act,” he said. Another individual familiar with the deliberations said the report39。t changed significantly from the draft. 5 In Ms. Hu39。s Bank of China, made her third statement in less than two 4 weeks addressing the reasons for the government39。t happen. The . trade deficit with China shrank 15% in 2020, while the deficit with all other nations besides China halved. In other words, even with a pricier yuan, recessionbattered America cut spending on goods from the rest of the world by more than three times as much as it cut spending on Chinese goods. The improvement in the . trade balance in 2020 was far more likely due to the global recession than a lag effect of China39。 China to let the yuan rise around 20% to 25% over the next two to three years. This would reduce China39。對(duì)任何央行行長(zhǎng)來說，這都是一個(gè)熟悉的領(lǐng)域，不過胡曉煉引用了主張自由市場(chǎng)的傳奇式經(jīng)濟(jì)學(xué)家弗里德曼的話 ── 通貨膨脹是一種危險(xiǎn)的有時(shí)甚至?xí)旅募膊。M(jìn)而使得論戰(zhàn)升溫。一個(gè)風(fēng)向標(biāo)是，未來幾周中國是否將阻撓國際貨幣基金組織出版周一決定的更詳細(xì)的總結(jié)。 對(duì)人民幣法案持反對(duì)態(tài)度的人說，關(guān)注人民幣匯率是陷入了一種誤區(qū)。 2020 年上半年，這個(gè)升值過程還沒有結(jié)束的時(shí)候，中國對(duì)美順差為 1,190 億美元，幾乎比升值開始之前、 2020 年上半年的順差多出三分之一。 這種觀點(diǎn)能否得到歷史的檢驗(yàn)？ 支持上周三美國眾議院所通過法案的人認(rèn)為，北京拒絕讓人民幣兌美