【正文】
而這一點(diǎn),有待于政府采取果斷措施,消除升值預(yù)期。 4 針對(duì)人民幣匯率升值對(duì)我國(guó)經(jīng)濟(jì)及外貿(mào)的影響,提出的對(duì)策 大力開(kāi)拓國(guó)際市場(chǎng) ? 為了未來(lái)出口貿(mào)易的長(zhǎng)遠(yuǎn)發(fā)展 ?,除了繼續(xù)鞏固和深入開(kāi)拓傳統(tǒng)的美 國(guó)、日本、歐盟市場(chǎng)之外 ?, 企業(yè)還應(yīng)該積極尋覓并開(kāi)拓新的目標(biāo)市場(chǎng),如非洲、東盟等潛力巨大的市場(chǎng),推動(dòng)市場(chǎng)多元化,擴(kuò)大企業(yè)出口量,給出口企業(yè)帶來(lái)新的利潤(rùn)來(lái)源。 我國(guó)的農(nóng)業(yè)將面臨更大的挑戰(zhàn) 人民幣升值將阻滯我國(guó)農(nóng)產(chǎn)品貿(mào)易出口增長(zhǎng)的步伐,進(jìn)口將明顯增加,對(duì)我國(guó)農(nóng)業(yè)生產(chǎn)將造成沖擊,影響農(nóng)民增收。 有利于減輕外債還本付息壓力 人民幣匯率的上升,未償還外債還本付息所需本幣的數(shù)量相應(yīng)減少,從而在一定程度上減輕了外債負(fù)擔(dān)。在浮動(dòng)匯率制下,市場(chǎng)供求決定匯率的變動(dòng),因此國(guó)際收支逆差將引起本幣貶值,外幣升值,即外匯匯率上升。人民幣匯率的升值將對(duì)我國(guó)經(jīng)濟(jì)、外貿(mào)進(jìn)出口的總額及其結(jié)構(gòu)產(chǎn)生一系列影響,只有采取積極有效的措施才能使我國(guó)經(jīng)濟(jì)及出口企業(yè)獲得持續(xù)穩(wěn)定發(fā)展。s profit fell by. Not conducive to attracting foreign investment in China The appreciation of the renminbi to processing trade of foreign enterprises export cost increase, so that the processing trade of the foreign investment decline. This will affect foreign investment enterprises, Profit to investment scale and industry localization process, is not conducive to China 39。s capital market, indirect investment proportion will be increased further. 3. The exchange rate of RMB appreciation on China39。s money supply substantially positive correlation, due to the deepening of reform and opening up, foreign investors can not only make use of cheap Chinese labour, more optimistic about China39。s huge domestic market. Therefore, foreign investment increased substantially. Due to tightening of moary policy, the RMB fund is quite nervous, the entry of foreign capital and foreign exchange, so appeared apparent oversupply, resulting in the trend of Renminbi rmb. International balance of payments and foreign exchange reserve The formation of foreign exchange market and the international trade and investment is not divided, international balance of payment is a country39。s economy and foreign trade adverse effects The influence of Chinese enterprise and many integrated petition ability of the industry The appreciation of the renminbi will lead to certain technical content and added value is low, poor management, high cost and low efficiency of export enterprises lose in the price in the international market petitive advantage, eventually had to be eliminated. Increasing employment pressure RMB appreciation will restrain or hit exports, will ultimately affect the employment. In the current China39。s processing trade industry sustainable development, upgrade. 4. In view of the appreciation of the RMB exchange rate on China39。 1. 人民幣匯率升值的原因 中外利率差異情況 利率政策是一個(gè)國(guó)家重要的貨幣政策工具。反之,國(guó)際收支順差則引起外匯匯率下降。 有利于推動(dòng)外貿(mào)增長(zhǎng)方式的轉(zhuǎn)變 人民幣升值有助于我國(guó)外貿(mào)增長(zhǎng)方式從原來(lái)的粗放型轉(zhuǎn)向高質(zhì)量和高效益的集約型,這會(huì)帶來(lái)出口結(jié)構(gòu)的改善,激勵(lì)企業(yè)技術(shù)創(chuàng)新,實(shí)現(xiàn)可持續(xù)發(fā)展。農(nóng)產(chǎn)品進(jìn)出口貿(mào)易可能發(fā)生逆轉(zhuǎn),由順差變成逆差。 緩解人民幣匯率升值的壓力 我們可以通過(guò)調(diào)整對(duì)外貿(mào)易地理結(jié)構(gòu)來(lái)減輕對(duì)美國(guó)市場(chǎng)的依賴。 降低生產(chǎn)和交易成本 出口企業(yè)可通過(guò)加強(qiáng)管理,理順內(nèi)部流程,降低管理成本;利用人民幣升值,增加從國(guó)外進(jìn)口原材料,降低材料成本;直接與外商聯(lián)系或充分利用互聯(lián)網(wǎng)發(fā)展電子商務(wù),減少出口的中間環(huán)節(jié),提高交易的效率,降低交易成本。 適時(shí)調(diào)整匯率水平與匯率制度 我們要認(rèn)識(shí)到,成功地調(diào)整人民幣匯率政策,對(duì)于未來(lái)的宏觀經(jīng)濟(jì)穩(wěn)定、貿(mào)易品部門與非貿(mào)易品部門產(chǎn)業(yè)間的平衡發(fā)展以及中國(guó)經(jīng)濟(jì)可持續(xù)增長(zhǎng)都具有深遠(yuǎn)而積極的 意義。這都將