計(jì)量經(jīng)濟(jì)學(xué)緒論ppt課件-wenkub
2023-05-27 13:15:23 本頁面
【正文】 量經(jīng)濟(jì)學(xué)應(yīng)用研究論文中，經(jīng)典單方程模型占64% 應(yīng)用模型的類型分布349115423212 19 010經(jīng)典單方程模型 經(jīng)典聯(lián)立方程模型 宏觀時(shí)間序列分析模型金融時(shí)間序列分析模型 其它時(shí)間序列分析模型 宏觀Panel Data模型微觀Panel Data模型 離散選擇模型 完全非參數(shù)模型簡單非線性模型 復(fù)雜非線性模型 其它AER 19842022年發(fā)表的計(jì)量經(jīng)濟(jì)學(xué)應(yīng)用研究論文中，經(jīng)典單方程模型占 80% ? 對經(jīng)典計(jì)量經(jīng)濟(jì)學(xué)模型的批判 — Lucas批判 – Lucas(1976)、 Sarget(1976)、 Sims(1980) – Lucas(1976): 使用計(jì)量經(jīng)濟(jì)模型預(yù)測未來經(jīng)濟(jì)政策的變化所產(chǎn)生的效用是不可信的。 – Sims(1980)：為使結(jié)構(gòu)方程可以識(shí)別而施加了許多約束，這些約束是不可信的。 ? 非經(jīng)典計(jì)量經(jīng)濟(jì)學(xué) 主要包括：微觀計(jì)量經(jīng)濟(jì)學(xué)、非參數(shù)計(jì)量經(jīng)濟(jì)學(xué)、時(shí)間序列計(jì)量經(jīng)濟(jì)學(xué)和動(dòng)態(tài)計(jì)量經(jīng)濟(jì)學(xué)等。 △ 微觀計(jì)量經(jīng)濟(jì)學(xué)和宏觀計(jì)量經(jīng)濟(jì)學(xué) ? 微觀計(jì)量經(jīng)濟(jì)學(xué) 于 2022年諾貝爾經(jīng)濟(jì)學(xué)獎(jiǎng)公報(bào)中正式提出。 – 內(nèi)容主要包括 penal數(shù)據(jù)模型的理論方法、離散選擇模型的理論方法、選擇性樣本模型的理論方法。 四、計(jì)量經(jīng)濟(jì)學(xué)是一門經(jīng)濟(jì)學(xué)科 ? 從計(jì)量經(jīng)濟(jì)學(xué)的定義看 ? 從計(jì)量經(jīng)濟(jì)學(xué)在西方國家經(jīng)濟(jì)學(xué)科中的地位看 ? 從計(jì)量經(jīng)濟(jì)學(xué)與數(shù)理統(tǒng)計(jì)學(xué)的區(qū)別看 ? 從建立與應(yīng)用計(jì)量經(jīng)濟(jì)學(xué)模型的全過程看 ? 從諾貝爾經(jīng)濟(jì)學(xué)獎(jiǎng)看 △ 諾貝爾經(jīng)濟(jì)學(xué)獎(jiǎng)與計(jì)量經(jīng)濟(jì)學(xué) ? 61位獲獎(jiǎng)?wù)咧?10位直接因?yàn)閷τ?jì)量經(jīng)濟(jì)學(xué)發(fā)展的貢獻(xiàn)而獲獎(jiǎng) 1969 R. Frish J. Tinbergen 1973 W. Leotief 1980 L. R. Klein 1984 R. Stone 1989 T. Haavelmo 2022 J. J. Heckman D. L. McFadden 2022 R. F. Engle C. W. J. Granger ? 近 20位擔(dān)任過世界計(jì)量經(jīng)濟(jì)學(xué)會(huì)會(huì)長 ? 30余位左右在獲獎(jiǎng)成果中應(yīng)用了計(jì)量經(jīng)濟(jì)學(xué) ? 獲獎(jiǎng)?wù)呙麊? 2022 Finn Kydland , Edward Prescott 2022 Robert F. Engle, Clive W. J. Granger 2022 Daniel Kahneman, Vernon L. Smith 2022 Gee A. Akerlof, A. Michael Spence, Joseph E. Stiglitz 2022 James J Heckman, Daniel L McFadden 1999 Robert A. Mundell 1998 Amartya Sen 1997 Robert C. Merton, Myron S. Scholes 1996 James A. Mirrlees, William Vickrey 1995 Robert E. Lucas Jr. 1994 John C. Harsanyi, John F. Nash Jr., Reinhard Selten 1993 Robert W. Fogel, Douglass C. North 1992 Gary S. Becker 1991 Ronald H. Coase 1990 Harry M. Markowitz, Merton H. Miller, William F. Sharpe 1989 Trygve Haavelmo 1988 Maurice Allais 1987 Robert M. Solow 1986 James M. Buchanan Jr. 1985 Franco Modigliani 1984 Richard Stone 1983 Gerard Debreu 1982 Gee J. Stigler 1981 James Tobin 1980 Lawrence R. Klein 1979 Theodore W. Schultz, Sir Arthur Lewis 1978 Herbert A. Simon 1977 Bertil Ohlin, James E. Meade 1976 Milton Friedman 1975 Leonid Vitaliyevich Kantorovich Tjalling C. Koopmans 1974 Gunnar Myrdal Friedrich August von Hayek 1973 Wassily Leontief 1972 John R. Hicks, Kenh J. Arrow 1971 Simon Kuzs 1970 Paul A. Samuelson 1969 Ragnar Frisch, Jan Tinbergen The Bank of Sweden Prize in Economic Sciences in Memory of Alfred Nobel 1969 for having developed and applied dynamic models for the analysis of economic processes Ragnar Frisch Norway Jan Tinbergen the etherlands The Bank of Sweden Prize in Economic Sciences in Memory of Alfred Nobel 1973 for the development of the inputoutput method and for its application to important economic problems Wassily Leontief USA The Bank of Sweden Prize in Economic Sciences in Memory of Alfred Nobel 1980 for the creation of econometric models and the application to the anal
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