【正文】 ................................21.....................................................................................................22..............................................................................22............................................................................................24......................................................24..............................................................25..............................................................................26第四章房地產(chǎn)價(jià)格波動(dòng)對(duì)地方財(cái)政收入影響的實(shí)證分析................................................27..............................................................................................................27........................................................................................................................27..........................................................................................28......................................................29......................................................................................................29......................................................................................................29..............................................................................................................30..........................................................................................................31..........................................................................................................................31......................................................................................................31——Hausman檢驗(yàn)....................................................32..........................................................................................................32...................................................33......................................................................................................33.............................................................................................33——Hausman檢驗(yàn)....................................................33............................................................................................................................................................................................................34..............................................................................................34——Hausman檢驗(yàn)....................................................35..........................................................................................................35..............................................................................................................36..............................................................................................36——Hausman檢驗(yàn)....................................................36..........................................................................................................37第五章實(shí)證結(jié)果的原因分析.........................................................................................38......................................................38......................................................38..........................................................................39..................................................................40..........................................................41..........................................................................42..........................................42..........................42..........................................43..............................................................44第六章結(jié)論與政策建議.............................................................................................45.................................................................................................................................45.................................................................................................................................45致謝...........................................................................................................................47參考文獻(xiàn)....................................................................................................................48攻讀學(xué)位期間發(fā)表的學(xué)術(shù)論文.........................................................................................51第一章緒論自20世紀(jì)80年代初以來(lái)，隨著我國(guó)城市土地使用制度改革和城鎮(zhèn)住房制度改革逐步推進(jìn)和深化，住房建設(shè)步伐加快，住房消費(fèi)的有效啟動(dòng)，居民住房條件逐步改善，以住宅為主的中國(guó)城市房地產(chǎn)市場(chǎng)得到了不斷發(fā)展。關(guān)鍵詞：房地產(chǎn)價(jià)格地方財(cái)政收入面板數(shù)據(jù)模型AbstractIn the last few years,the real estate industry developed so fast that it plays amore important role in the local the meantime,some problems occurredsuch as the excessive increasing of real estate investment,over speed of real estateprice rising and imbalance of industrial structure,especially the abnormal soaring ofthe ,there es up a series of statement on the reason of the rising ofreal estate price,among which there are some arguments that attribute the rapid pricerising to the local government intending to increase the local government revenues.However,how does the real estate price play a positive influence on the increasing ofthe local government revenues?And how should the local government deal with thetax revenues bringing by the development of the real estate industry rationally?Thereare still no prehensive answers to these order to standardize andstabilize the development of real estate market and conquer the limit rational action oflocal government,it is very necessary to carry out a deep research on these questions.The main ideas and logical structure of this paper is:Firstly,this paper definesthe relevant concepts of real estate and local fiscal revenues,and elaborates theaffection mechanism of the fluctuation of real estate price on the local fiscal revenues.Secondly,this paper offers an easy analysis to the characters