23城市化1(參考版)
2024-11-20 21:24本頁面
【正文】 ? The fiscal surplus in initial years can still be used for urban infrastructure and accumulated dispossessed farmers. Deficits in later years can e from property tax to be installed as local tax base. 進(jìn)一步的含義 Further implications ? 漸進(jìn)還是不進(jìn)？ 整體推進(jìn)還是摸著石頭過河？ ? Gradualism or stagnation? Integrated approach or continue to “crossing the river by groping the stones” 謝謝，請批評指正！ Thanks for your patience， ments more than wele ！ 。 ? An voluntary choice for migrants between urban Hukou and rural land acpanied by land value added tax in urban expansion 對收入分配的政策涵義 Implications for Ine Distribution ? 遷移出的農(nóng)村人口讓出土地給留在農(nóng)村的人口 ? 將遷入地城郊征地后的部分土地收入轉(zhuǎn)移給從外來遷移人口為其提供城市基本公共服務(wù) ? Redistribution of rural land from migrants to those who stay in rural； ? Redistribution of land revenue from city governments and dispossessed farmers in urban suburbs to migrants from rural areas 600013000 20203000 對經(jīng)濟(jì)效率的政策涵義 Implications for Economic Efficiency ? Issuing land certificates will promote land use and transaction efficiency ? can promote land rental and sales markets ? reduce wasting use of land ? Land value added tax corrects for externality in urban land development ? 土地使用權(quán)證發(fā)放防止調(diào)地 ,提高利用效率 ? 土地使用權(quán)證發(fā)放能促進(jìn)土地租賃 ,金融市場發(fā)育 ? 新土地征用體制能防止侵犯農(nóng)民利益，降低土地浪費(fèi) ? 土地增值稅能減少土地外部效應(yīng) 財政估算方案 Financial Scenario ? 基本假設(shè) ? 財政收入 ? 財政支出 ? 將說明該方案可以實現(xiàn)自我融資，具有可操作性 ? Basic Assumption ? Revenue： ? Expenditure ? Show the package is selffinancing 財政估算方案：基本假設(shè) Financial Scenario： Scenario ? 每年轉(zhuǎn)移 900萬左右： 400+230+200+100 9 Million Migrants： 4++2+1 ? 每年征地 200萬畝： 2020年 295萬畝 Land Requisition: 2 Million Mu/ Year ? 政策從 2020到 2020年，持續(xù) 9年 (9年義務(wù)教育 ) From 2020 to 2020(nineyear pulsory education) ? 政策準(zhǔn)入標(biāo)準(zhǔn)為月收入 1000元以上 目前有有 800多萬勞動力 Entry criteria: Above 1000 RMB/Month 長途流動人口規(guī)模 Longdistance long term migrants Migrants outside home county with 6 months with ine above 1000 RMB/ month Nearly 8 million such migrants inferred for the national population 63 . 7 3 . 73 . 52 . 2 2 . 205101520253035B e l o w2 0 0 R M B2 0 0 4 0 0R M B4 0 0 6 0 0R M B6 0 0 8 0 0R M B8 0 0 1 0 0 0R M B1 0 0 0 1 2 0 0R M B1 2 0 0 1 4 0 0R M BA b o v e1 4 0 0 R M BS h a r e o f T o t a l S a m p l e ( % )I n f e r r e d N a t i o n a l P o p ( M i l l i o n )財政估算方案：基本假設(shè) Financial Scenario： Scenario ? 每年轉(zhuǎn)移 900萬左右： 400+230+200+100 9 Million Migrants： 4++2+1 ? 每年征地 200萬畝： 2020年 295萬畝 Land Requisition: 2 Million Mu/ Year ? 政策從 2020到 2020年，持續(xù) 9年 (9年義務(wù)教育 ) From 2020 to 2020(nineyear pulsory education) 政策準(zhǔn)入標(biāo)準(zhǔn)為月收入 1000元以上 有 800多萬勞動力 Entry criteria: Above 1000 RMB/Month 財政估算方案：移民結(jié)構(gòu) Financial Scenario： Migrants’ Structure 4 .02 .32 .01 .0011223344R u r a l M i g r a n ts T h e i r c h i l d r e n D i s p o s s e s s e dF a r m e r sT h e i r C h i l d r e nM i g r a n t s ( M i l l i o n )財政估算方案：移民規(guī)模 Financial Scenario： Migrants’ Scale 9 . 301020304050607080902020 2020 2020 2020 2020 2020 2020 2020 2020i n 2 0 1 4i n 2 0 1 3i n 2 0 1 2i n 2 0 1
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