中國(guó)石油天然氣上下游基金投資風(fēng)險(xiǎn)管理策略-wenkub.com
2025-02-21 04:35 本頁(yè)面
【正文】 Proactive Structural Strategic China/GLobalFund Risk Management China/Global oil, gas ,housing industry market fundamental mechanism, risks Early Warning Operations Simulation Analysis (OSA) 中國(guó)石油天然氣上下游基金投資風(fēng)險(xiǎn)管理策略 Moary, Economic, Fiscal Policy Impact on China/Global Macroeconomic Control, Oil, Gas, Housing demand, prices Mechanism and Investment Risks Simulation/Forecasts Warren Huang ( 黃華南博士 ) ,Ph D,Founder/CEO OSA Global Strategic Management / Revision for China Fund World , Pudong Conference, March 5,2023 Lecture Summary Proactive Structural Risks Mechanism Operations Simulation Analysis ? OSA Methodology: Two master hands controlling last 20 years Global energy,housing,asset price bubble burst Mechanism, Allocation Fund Risks early warning ? 1. China/Global Country Risks : Macro economic control, housing bubble burst, mortgage crisis policy impact on inflation, recession, interest rates analysis 2. Currency Risks: Interest rate, trade surplus impact on RMB, global currency market forces mechanism, currency crisis forecasts 3. Credit Risks: Oil, gas, China/Foreign players cash flow, profits, housing price bubble burst impact on credit rating and loan defaults risk 4. Operational Risks: All phases of oil, gas, power, banking, finance, daily trading, profit performance risks reporting, monitoring, simulation. ? 5. Market Risks: Proactive VaR pricing for housing ,banking, finance oil, gas, demand, performance, stock, derivatives prices dynamics mechanism forecast 6. Causes, onset, recovery of disaster, energy,banking,mortgage, financial crisis, asset prices bubble, debt, equities, properties NPL 7. Risks Hedging: Oil, gas, currency, interest rate futures, derivatives prices forecasts, risks hedging. 8. Corporate Governance: Operating, Cost, Financial accounting data tracking, asset price bubble and scandals cycles earning warning 9 M/A , IPO Risks :Joint ventures, pre and post M/A and IPO performance, stock prices, risks tracking. OSA challenges the unknown futures, fight petition, maximize Risk adjusted return in oil, gas ,fund investment Country Risks OSA :Moary policy, WTO impact on inflation, GDP growth 貨幣財(cái)經(jīng)政策入世對(duì)中外宏觀調(diào)控影響 ? Excessive money supply, rate cuts,DFI resulted soaring modity, asset prices and falling US dollar push inflation and GDP higher export Moary policy Foreign direct investment Business demand Fixed investment Consumer demand Macroeconomic inflation and GDP growth currency Commodity prices Moary, economic, fiscal policy impact on Global/China macroeconomic control and daily oil, gas, capital market asset prices since 1983 ? Dr. Huang structural dynamic models accurately predict economic, energy crisis sin
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