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商務英語閱讀chapter2achangedglobalreality世界經(jīng)濟格局新變化-wenkub

2023-04-21 12:51:43 本頁面
 

【正文】 e discovered new sources of domestic demand. Parts of Africa are attracting real interest from investors. All told, the strength of the developing world has supported the global economy. The World Bank estimates that economic growth in low and middleine countries contributed almost half of world growth (46%) in 2010. 世界形勢正發(fā)生著變化??傊?,發(fā)展中國家的力量撐起了世界經(jīng)濟。但是,在慶祝一個新的經(jīng)濟秩序建立之前,我們必須克服國與國之間以及國家內(nèi)部存在的深層分歧?,F(xiàn)在世界的狀況比一年前我們所想象的要好得多?! mid all the encouraging news (or at least the absence of terrible tidings), Goldman Sachs economists have turned practically giddy, recently upgrading their 2011 global and forecasts (to % and %, respectively). While 2010 was the Year of Doubt, 2011, they proclaim, will be the Year of Recovery. . economist Nouriel Roubini, the Cassandra of the crisis, reckons that if all goes right and nothing terrible goes wrong, the global economy might grow nearly 4% this year. 聽到如此多鼓舞人心的消息(或者至少是沒有很糟糕的消息),高盛經(jīng)濟學家?guī)缀踝兊幂p率起來,最近他們更新了2011年全球和美國經(jīng)濟增長預測(%%)。m not prepared to give the global economy the green light. 有人肯定會說:并不是每個人都同意這個觀點。即使是不那么悲觀的人也擔心全球經(jīng)濟遠沒有恢復?!斑@真是一次緩慢的后經(jīng)濟危機考驗。2008年9月的私營部門債務危機到2010年11月已經(jīng)演變?yōu)楣膊块T危機。s imposition of austerity has led to heightened political conflict. Ballooning debts and feeble growth prospects for the advanced economies are reordering the investor39。 a few days later, Moody39。在美國,國家和地方政府糟糕的預算同樣也會導致工作崗位的緊縮。幾天之后,穆迪更新了印尼的評級。s ines, says Stephen King, chief economist at HSBC. In emerging markets, the fallout can be much more severe. High food prices have already contributed to the collapse of the government in Tunisia. 新興經(jīng)濟體也面臨著自己的風險。在發(fā)達國家,人們生存必需品價格如此暴漲,令人非常難以接受?! earing the consequences, policymakers throughout the developing world have switched priorities from holding up growth to fighting inflation. In midJanuary, China raised the reserverequirement ratio — which forces banks to park more money at home for every loan they make — to a record high in an attempt to curtail credit and quell inflation, which rose at the fastest pace in two years in November. In India, raging food prices, galloping ahead by nearly 17% from a year earlier, have bee such a sensitive issue that when Pakistan temporarily cut off some exports of onions to the country, it sparked a minor diplomatic row. The same measures used to bust inflation, however, will also dampen growth. The World Bank predicts slowdowns for roaring China (from 10% growth in 2010 to % in 2011) and India (% to %). 由于擔心造成類似的后果,發(fā)展中國家的決策者決定把優(yōu)先保持經(jīng)濟增長轉(zhuǎn)為優(yōu)先抵抗通貨膨脹。然而,消除通貨膨脹的措施也會抑制經(jīng)濟增長。s economic future will be determined not just in London or New York City but in Beijing and New Delhi too. The problem that Western economies have is that they haven39。發(fā)達國家的許多人就剛剛才意識到,未來的全球經(jīng)濟不僅僅由倫敦或紐約這樣的城市決定,也同樣由北京和新德里這樣的城市決定。美國總統(tǒng)巴拉克?奧巴馬和中國國家主席胡錦濤在華盛頓舉行峰會,氣氛高度緊張?! n the . and Europe, a certain helplessness in the face of huge economic forces is fueling a disaffection — which makes itself felt in different ways in different societies — with the global financial elites and the policymakers who are thought to have connived with them. There was a particularly poignant moment when Ireland, which cherishes its independence like a precious jewel, was forced to go cap in hand to the . for a bailout in November. Was it for this? The Irish Times asked in a famous editorial on the humiliation. The question (though few outside Dublin got the reference) was an echo of a line from . Yeats39。這個問題(盡管只有愛爾蘭人才能真正明白其中含義)與威廉?巴特勒?葉芝的著名詩作“
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