【正文】 的畢業(yè)設(shè)計(jì) (論文 )經(jīng)過(guò)答辯 ,其意見(jiàn)為 并確定成績(jī)?yōu)? 畢業(yè)設(shè)計(jì) (論文 )答辯組負(fù)責(zé)人 答辯組 成員 年 月 日 I 論文題目： 分布式能源供給對(duì)陜西省能源 供需的影響 學(xué)生姓名 ： 王韜 指導(dǎo)教師： 魏瑋 1 分布式能源供給對(duì)陜西省能源供需的影響 摘 要 20xx 年 6 月 國(guó)務(wù)院 通過(guò)的《 關(guān)中 天水經(jīng)濟(jì)區(qū)發(fā)展規(guī)劃 》 將 西安定義為除北京、上海之外 中國(guó) 的第三 個(gè) 國(guó)際化都市。在 建設(shè)西安國(guó)際化大都市的過(guò)程中 ，陜西對(duì)于能源的需求也 因此 急速增長(zhǎng)，能源的供需矛盾 必將 日益突出 。 本文就陜西的能源的供給和需求狀況進(jìn)行分析， 認(rèn)為 現(xiàn)行的能源供給體系是不能保證陜西 省 在未來(lái) 10 年內(nèi)經(jīng)濟(jì)保持快速平穩(wěn)發(fā)展的需求的 ， 能源供給的多元化能夠在一定程度上 緩解能源供需矛盾，促進(jìn)經(jīng)濟(jì)的有力發(fā)展 ，為此， 借鑒國(guó)外先進(jìn)的理念和技術(shù)以及我國(guó)部分試點(diǎn)地區(qū)的成功案例，通過(guò) 在陜西省 引入分布式能源供給體系，與傳統(tǒng)的能源供給體系相結(jié)合，來(lái)緩解能源供需矛盾，促進(jìn)陜西經(jīng)濟(jì) 、 能源與環(huán)境的協(xié)調(diào)發(fā)展。 [關(guān)鍵詞 ] 能源消費(fèi)結(jié)構(gòu) 能源消費(fèi)系數(shù) 能源需求預(yù)測(cè) 分布式能源供給體系 Abstract In the Development Plan of GuanZhongTianShui Economic Zone passed in Jun 20xx, Xi39。an was defined as the third international metropolis beside Beijing and Shanghai, and this goal is about to achieve at 2020. With this target in mind, Shannxi province is now having a soaring energy need, therefore, the conflict between energy supply and demand is getting intense. What39。s more, energy is an important material foundation related to the steady of both city economic growth and political security. In this regard, only by solving this supplydemand conflict quickly, can the goal of Xi39。an being an international metropolis bee true and the steady development of economy and politics of Shannxi province being secured. 西安交通大學(xué)本科畢業(yè)論文 This article proposes an analysis on the current situation of energy supply and demand of Shannxi province, ing out with the result that demand of energy can be divided into real demand and potential demand. Real demand is the total volume of energy consume, while potential demand alters from the social economic development, which owns the unpredictable character, so hereby potential demand is replaced by total volume of energy consume. According to the data in the years from 20xx to 20xx, the current energy supply and demand system will not ensure the steady and fast development of Shannxi province in the next ten years. Diversification of energy supply can to some degree release the conflict of energy supply and demand, therefore empowering the economic growth. By consulting to advanced foreign ideas and some successful cases experimented in certain area of our country, distributed energy source supply system has been introduced. Combined with the traditional energy system, the conflict between energy supply and demand is meant to released and a balanced development of economy, energy and environment of Shanxi province can be secured. KEY WORDS: structure of energy consuming Energy consumption coefficients Energy demand forecasting Distributed energy supply system 0 目 錄 分布式能源供給對(duì)陜西省能源供需的影響 I 一、緒論 2 研究背景 ........................................................................................................................ 2 研究目的意義 ................................................................................................................ 2 文獻(xiàn)綜述 ........................................................................................................................ 3 國(guó)外文獻(xiàn)綜述 ........................................................................................................ 3 國(guó)內(nèi)文獻(xiàn)綜述 ........................................................................................................ 3 研究方法 ........................................................................................................................ 5 研究?jī)?nèi)容 ........................................................................................................................ 5 二、 陜西能源消費(fèi)狀況及其對(duì)經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展的影響 6 能源消費(fèi)量呈上升趨勢(shì) ................................................................................................ 6 能源消費(fèi)結(jié)構(gòu)的特點(diǎn) .................................................................................................... 6 煤炭消費(fèi)比例持續(xù)居高，但有下降的趨勢(shì) ........................................................ 7 石油需求總量增長(zhǎng)迅猛，所占比重基本穩(wěn)定 .................................................... 8 天然氣在消費(fèi)結(jié)構(gòu)中迅速突起，自身消費(fèi)結(jié)構(gòu)區(qū)域化 .................................... 8 電力消費(fèi)徘徊不前，遠(yuǎn)落后去全國(guó)平均水平 .................................................... 9 陜西經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展與能源消費(fèi)之間的關(guān)系 ...................................................................... 10 陜西經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)現(xiàn)狀 .............................................................................................. 10 能源消費(fèi)系數(shù) .......................................................................................................11 能源消費(fèi)彈性系數(shù) .............................................................................................. 12 能源加工轉(zhuǎn)換效率 .............................................................................................. 13 能源消費(fèi)狀況與經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展關(guān)系 .................................................................................. 14 三、分布式能源供給體系 16 分布式能源供給體系 ........