【正文】 ojects, percieving the construction of mountainous roads as a strategic pilot project for economic development and new rural building. During the “Eleventh FiveYear Plan”, Sichuan expenditure of fiscal funds and bank loans upon rural road construction was close to 10 billion yuan. Few studies, however, have been carried out on the specific effects of these projects, and whether they could meets the needs of farmers requires further analyses. Then it is of vital importance for research effectiveness of the implementation of rural road projects in Sichuan. 在前期對(duì)農(nóng)村道路方面的研究主要集中于農(nóng)村公路建設(shè)的融資、修建、養(yǎng)護(hù)和 管理技術(shù)、以及農(nóng)村公路建設(shè)的作用和意義等方面，專門從農(nóng)戶角度對(duì)道路項(xiàng)目評(píng)價(jià)的分析研究較少。 5 Preliminary studies on rural roads always focused on the aspects of financing, construction, maintenance and management techniques in construction, as well as the function and significance, etc.. There were less specific researches on project evaluation from the farmers’ angel. 劉承芳等（ 20xx）以道路、灌溉設(shè)施、飲用水設(shè)施為例分析我國(guó)農(nóng)村公共產(chǎn)品質(zhì)量的影響因素，得出村民選舉是影響道路等公共產(chǎn)品投資質(zhì)量的主要因素。 LIU chengfang ect. (20xx) made analyses on factors affecting the qualities of public goods, with examples in roads and facilities of irrigation and drinking water. The analyses draw the conclusion that villager election is the main factor affecting roads and other public goods investment qualities. 易紅梅等（ 20xx）利用江蘇、四川、吉林、陜西和河北五省的數(shù)據(jù)，分析農(nóng)村基礎(chǔ)設(shè)施投資和農(nóng)民需求之間的關(guān)系，發(fā)現(xiàn)道路項(xiàng)目的實(shí)施與農(nóng)民需求之間 沒(méi)有明顯的相關(guān)性。 Yi hongmei ect. (20xx) used data from five provinces (Jiangsu, Sichuan, Jilin, Shanxi and Hebei) to analyze the relationship between the investment in rural infrastructure and farmers39。 needs, finding no significant evidences about the correlation between the project implementation and farmers’ needs. 李強(qiáng)等（ 20xx）利用全國(guó)的抽樣調(diào)查數(shù)據(jù)對(duì)村級(jí)公共物品投資狀況進(jìn)行分析，研究表明村民對(duì)道路的滿意度比較低但投資意愿較高。 On the other hand, LI qiang, ect. (20xx) made analyses of condition of the villagelevel public goods investment via the country39。s survey data, showing that villagers’ satisfaction with the rural roads is relatively low, but they have a high willingness to invest. 上述研究大多是以整個(gè)國(guó)家為尺度，很少?gòu)男б娼嵌葘?duì)山區(qū)農(nóng)村道路進(jìn)行的實(shí)證分析，也沒(méi)有充分考慮山丘區(qū)農(nóng)村道路建設(shè)的特殊性，及其對(duì)改善山區(qū)農(nóng)村生產(chǎn)、生活條件，促進(jìn)山區(qū)農(nóng)村經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展的重要性，因此以四川這樣一個(gè)山區(qū)大省為例開展山丘區(qū)農(nóng)村道路項(xiàng)目的效益分析與研究非常 必要。 Most of these studies have been carried out with the country level, with little empirical analyses upon benefits of rural roads in mountains. They spare few consideration about the specialty of road construction in mountainous and hilly rural areas, as well as the significance of improvement of the living condition and economy over there. It is of vital importance to carry out research on the effectiveness of rural road projects in Sichuan’s hilly and mountainous areas 2 數(shù)據(jù)和評(píng)價(jià)指標(biāo)與方法 2. Data amp。 Evaluation Index and Methods 6 數(shù)據(jù)來(lái)源和調(diào)查方法 Data Source and Research Methods 本文分析所用數(shù)據(jù)來(lái)源于中國(guó)科學(xué)院農(nóng)業(yè)政策研究中心和中國(guó)科學(xué)院水利部成都山地災(zāi)害與環(huán)境研究所在 20xx年和 20xx年所做的四川省農(nóng)村公共產(chǎn)品投資的抽樣調(diào)查數(shù)據(jù)。樣本縣的選取方法是先將全省各個(gè)縣根據(jù)人均工業(yè)總產(chǎn)值排序（人均工業(yè)總產(chǎn)值這一指標(biāo)的使用是根據(jù) Rozelle (1990， 1996) 的研究結(jié)論，這一指標(biāo)能很好地預(yù)測(cè)生活標(biāo)準(zhǔn)和發(fā)展?jié)摿?。）并等分?5組，每組隨機(jī)選 1個(gè)樣本縣。采用同樣的辦法將每個(gè)樣本縣內(nèi)鄉(xiāng)鎮(zhèn)按照人均工業(yè)總產(chǎn)值進(jìn)行排序，分為兩組后每組隨機(jī)抽取一個(gè)鄉(xiāng) (鎮(zhèn) )，全省共隨機(jī)選取 10個(gè)樣本鄉(xiāng)鎮(zhèn)。同樣的，在每個(gè)樣本鄉(xiāng)鎮(zhèn)內(nèi)隨機(jī)抽取 2個(gè)村，全省共計(jì)調(diào)查了 20個(gè)樣本村。根據(jù)每個(gè)樣本村所屬的地貌類型劃分， 20個(gè)樣本村中有 15個(gè)丘陵村和 5個(gè)山區(qū)村。在每個(gè)村分別對(duì)村干部和農(nóng)民通過(guò)問(wèn)卷的形式進(jìn)行參與式訪談。 20xx年每個(gè)村僅隨機(jī)抽取 8戶農(nóng)戶進(jìn)行調(diào)查，共計(jì)回收 160份問(wèn)卷。 20xx年在對(duì)樣本村進(jìn)行回訪時(shí)，每個(gè)村在原有 8戶基礎(chǔ)上再隨機(jī)抽取 12戶農(nóng)戶，訪談農(nóng)戶數(shù)增加到 20戶，共計(jì)回收 400份調(diào)查問(wèn)卷。 The data used in this thesis is selected from the data of sampling survey of public investment of rural area in Sichuan province in 20xx and 20xx, which is carried out by Center for Chinese Agricultural Policy (CCAP) and Ministry of Water Resources (MWR) . The selection of sample counties is based on the rank of per capita of gross industrial output value (per capita of gross industrial output value takes the research of Rozelle (1990, 1999) as basis, which can well predict life standard and development potential) , which is divided into five groups and one sample county is randomly selected from each group. The towns in each sample county is ranked based on the per capita of gross industrial output value and then all the towns are divided into two groups, from each group one town is selected. In total, there are ten sample towns in the province. In the same way, 20 sample villages are selected in the province. According to the landform of each village, there are 15 hills villages and 5 mountainous villages among the 20 villages. The village cadres and villages are interviewed through questionnaire. In 20xx, 8 villagers’ families were randomly selected to interview, and in total 160 questionnaires were collected. In 20xx, another 12 villagers’ families were randomly selected to interview. The number of selected families increased to 20, and in total 400 questionnaires were collected. 分析農(nóng)村山丘地區(qū)道路現(xiàn)狀主要使用針對(duì)村干部的調(diào)查問(wèn)卷，問(wèn)卷內(nèi)容主要包括：本村已有各種類型公路長(zhǎng)度、質(zhì)量、是否有柏油路 /水泥路經(jīng)過(guò)本村，有幾條（若有），最近的柏油路 /水泥路類型等。 20xx20xx年間投資情況按照村干部調(diào)查問(wèn)卷和村民調(diào)查 問(wèn)卷加以綜合統(tǒng)計(jì)，問(wèn)卷內(nèi)容涉及樣本村在這期間內(nèi)是否有道路項(xiàng)目投資，投資金額是多少，資金來(lái)源等問(wèn)題。分析道路項(xiàng)目社會(huì)效益指數(shù)、需求供給狀況和對(duì)道路設(shè)施滿意度采用的是村民調(diào)查問(wèn)卷，問(wèn)卷內(nèi)容主要包括：村民對(duì)本村實(shí)施的包括道路項(xiàng)目在內(nèi)所有公共投資項(xiàng)目的效益排序；以及假設(shè)村里有 5萬(wàn)元，村民對(duì)修建道路、學(xué)校、灌溉水利、飲用水設(shè)施和診所等 5類公 7 共項(xiàng)目的投資優(yōu)先序；村民對(duì)現(xiàn)有道路項(xiàng)目的滿意程度等。 The analysis to road conditions in hills and mountainous areas is mainly based on the questionnaires from village cadres. And the contents mainly include: the quantity and quality of present roads in the village, is there any asphalt road or cement road crossing the village。 how many asphalt roads and cement roads in the village (if there are) , the type of nearest asphalt roads or cement roads. The investment to roads from 20xx to 20xx is based on both the questionnaires from village cadres and villagers. The contents include the investment amount and capital sources. The analysis to the social effect of the road project, the supply and demand of roads, the satisfactory degree is based on the questionnaires from villagers. The contents mainly include: villagers ranking to the public investment programs including roads。 if the