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ss essentially is achieved through time pression in the supply chain. Time pressionService enhancement Cost reduction壓縮時間完善服務(wù) 縮減成本Breaking free of the classic service/cost tradeoff打破傳統(tǒng)的服務(wù)、成本權(quán)衡關(guān)系 market making reliance on forecasts dangerous Question n What’s the continuing problem for most anizations according to text?n What’s the root cause of these problems?由于市場多變,過于依賴預(yù)測很危險n A continuing problem for most anizations is the inaccuracy of forecast.n Whilst many forecasting errors are the result of inappropriate forecasting methodology the root cause of these problems is that forecast error increases as led time increases.time+ForecasterrorForecast error and planning horizons預(yù)測誤差和計劃水平 concept of lead timeQuestion What’s the meaning of lead time from the customer’s viewpoint and from the supplier’s perspective respectively?From the customers’ viewpointThe elapsed time from order to delivery.From the suppliers’ viewpointThe time it takes to convert an order Into cash.從發(fā)出訂單到收到貨物的這段時間。從接受訂單到收回現(xiàn)金的時間(1)The ordertodelivery cycleCustomer Places orderOrderprocessingOrderentryOrderassembly TransportOrderreceivedThe ponents of order cycle time客戶訂單提交 訂單錄入 訂單處理 訂單組貨 運(yùn)輸 訂貨到達(dá)Total order cycle with variability munication entry and processing picking or production receivingtotal3Time range1to5days Time range1to3days2Time range1to9days53Time range1to5days2Time range1to3days 5 days 25 days15運(yùn)輸訂單錄入及處理按單揀選或生產(chǎn)客戶接受訂貨前溝通訂單履行周期的變動程度n In those situations where orders are not met from stock but may have to be manufactured, assembled or sourced from external vendors, then clearly lead times will be even further extended with the possibility of still greater variations in total ordertodelivery time. Lead time ponentn . Ordering reception lead tinePlanning lead timeProcessing lead timeMaterials planning and purchase lead timesupplier lead tinetransport lead tineReception and inspection lead tineAssembly release and order pickingWaiting timesProcessing timesTransport time to next stage( inventory assembly)Dispatch preparation time(documents,packages)Transport time to customerCommercial And planningLead time Materials Lead timesAssemblyLead timesDistributionLead timesInstallationLead times商業(yè)和計劃前置時間原材料前置時間匯總前置時間配送前置時間安裝前置時間前置時間構(gòu)成要素(2)The cashtocash cycleQuestion What’s the basic concern of any anization? what is rule of thumb?CumulativeLead time[procurementTo payment]Raw material stockSubassembly productionIntermediate stockProduct assemblyFinished stock at Central warehouseIntransitRegional distribution Central stockCustomer order cycle累積的前置時間(從采購到付款)Strategic leadtime management The longer the pipeline from source of material to the final user t