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論我國(guó)高外匯儲(chǔ)備規(guī)模下的投資保值研究畢業(yè)論文-展示頁(yè)

2024-09-07 20:19本頁(yè)面
  

【正文】 .................... 22 外匯儲(chǔ)備投資的風(fēng)險(xiǎn)分析 ................................. 25 美元比例過大面臨的匯率風(fēng)險(xiǎn) ....................... 25 美元比例過大帶來的流動(dòng)性風(fēng)險(xiǎn) ..................... 25 期限結(jié)構(gòu)錯(cuò)配風(fēng)險(xiǎn) ................................. 25 第 5 章 研究結(jié)論和 對(duì)策建議 ......................... 錯(cuò)誤 !未定義書簽。 影響外匯儲(chǔ)備規(guī)模適度性的因素 ..... 錯(cuò)誤 !未定義書簽。 新加坡外匯管理模式對(duì)我中國(guó)的啟示 ....... 錯(cuò)誤 !未定義書簽。s foreign exchange reserves will shrink dramatically. . bonds yields and bond price volatility as well as the . government economic recovery plan are making the huge sum of Chinese foreign exchange investment in . bond more and more challenging. How to achieve the preservation and appreciation of China’s foreign exchange reserves under current circumstance has bee the focus of widespread concern. This essay takes Singapore as an example,analysis the international cases of Foreign exchange reserves investment value and inspire our country. SingaPore’s foreign exchange reserve management model 一 the Moary Authority of Singapore(MAS)+the Government of Singapore Investment Corporation(GIC) have significant achievement in economic development,therefore by means of analysing the Singapore foreign exchange reserves investment experience, we can get a more practical experience and enlightenment. After analysing the investment value of high specific scale of China39。s foreign exchange reserves has forced the opportunity costs of holding foreign exchange reserve to bee higher and the inequality of yield and cost should be attributed to the unbalance of Investment structure of foreign exchange reserve. At present, about twothirds of foreign exchange reserve is invested into dollar assets, No matter when the dollar devalues or the inflation happens in USA, China39。s reform and openingup policy, being influenced by the trade surplus, FDI surplus and the related systems, China39。s foreign exchange reserves has been the largest in the the end of the year 2020, China39。S FOREIGN EXCHANGE RESERVES ABSTRACT After experiencing the 1997 Asian financial crisis, China39。 最后具體分析我國(guó)高外匯儲(chǔ)備規(guī)模下的投資保值,基于比例分析法、層次結(jié)構(gòu)分析法等定性定量分析相結(jié)合的研究方法,討論投資保值的優(yōu)化方向,提出相應(yīng)的政策建議。 新加坡的外匯管理體系 MAS+GIC 模式舉世聞名,為新加坡的經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展起到了重大的推動(dòng)作用。如何在當(dāng)前的環(huán)境 之下,實(shí)現(xiàn)中國(guó)外匯儲(chǔ)備的保值與增值,成為廣泛關(guān)注的焦點(diǎn)。目前我國(guó)三分之二左右的外匯儲(chǔ)備投資于美元資產(chǎn),每當(dāng)美元貶值或美國(guó)國(guó)內(nèi)出現(xiàn)通貨膨脹時(shí),我國(guó)外匯儲(chǔ)備都會(huì)隨之貶值,從而造成外匯儲(chǔ)備的損失,當(dāng)前人民幣升值壓力很大,人民幣升值的同時(shí)美元將會(huì)貶值,長(zhǎng)此以往下去,中國(guó)的外匯儲(chǔ)備必將會(huì)大幅度縮水。 本文先通過論述我國(guó)外匯儲(chǔ)備及其投資的現(xiàn)狀,分析現(xiàn)狀形成的原因,提出目前面臨的問題。改革開放之后受貿(mào)易順差、利用外商直接投資順差、相關(guān)制度因素等的影響,我國(guó)外匯儲(chǔ)備呈現(xiàn)階段性的變化,前期規(guī)模不足,中期規(guī)模適度,后期超出適度規(guī)模并且高速發(fā)展。 承諾人(簽名): 日 期: 論我國(guó)高外匯儲(chǔ)備規(guī)模下的投資保值研究 摘 要 在經(jīng)歷了 1997 年亞洲金融危機(jī)后 , 我國(guó)外匯儲(chǔ)備總量開始增加 , 2020 年 起更是加速增長(zhǎng)。論文研究過程中不存在抄襲他人研究成果和偽造相關(guān)數(shù)據(jù)等行為。 本科畢業(yè)論文 論我國(guó)高外匯儲(chǔ)備規(guī)模下的投資保值研究 姓 名 學(xué) 院 專 業(yè) 指導(dǎo)教師 完成日期 xxxxxx 大學(xué) 全日制本科生畢業(yè)設(shè)計(jì)(論文)承諾書 本人鄭重承諾:所呈交的畢業(yè)設(shè)計(jì)(論文) 是在導(dǎo)師的指導(dǎo)下,嚴(yán)格按照學(xué)校和學(xué)院的有關(guān)規(guī)定由本人獨(dú)立完成。文中所引用的觀點(diǎn)和參考資料均已標(biāo)注并加以注 釋。如若出現(xiàn)任何侵犯他人知識(shí)產(chǎn)權(quán)等問題,本人愿意承擔(dān)相關(guān)法律責(zé)任。自 2020 年以來,我國(guó)外匯儲(chǔ)備規(guī)模連續(xù)高居世界第一, 截止到2020 年底,我國(guó)外匯儲(chǔ)備規(guī)模以達(dá)到 億美元。高額的外匯儲(chǔ)備會(huì)促進(jìn)我國(guó)經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展、滿足我國(guó)用匯需求、維持我國(guó)信譽(yù)、會(huì)規(guī)避金融風(fēng)險(xiǎn);高額的外匯儲(chǔ)備也會(huì)使我國(guó)經(jīng)濟(jì)出現(xiàn)泡沫、帶來經(jīng)濟(jì)的不穩(wěn)定性風(fēng)險(xiǎn)、產(chǎn)生機(jī)會(huì)成本。與高額的外匯儲(chǔ)備規(guī)模相對(duì)應(yīng)的是外匯儲(chǔ)備的低收益率 ,我國(guó)外匯儲(chǔ)備規(guī)模的迅速擴(kuò)張已經(jīng)使得持有外匯儲(chǔ)備的機(jī)會(huì)成本變得很高,而外匯儲(chǔ)備現(xiàn)有的投資結(jié)構(gòu)上的不平衡則是造成收益和成本不相匹敵的一個(gè)重要原因。 美國(guó)國(guó)債的收益率和債券價(jià)格的波動(dòng),加之美國(guó)政府經(jīng)濟(jì)振興計(jì)劃,使投資于美國(guó)國(guó)債的巨額中國(guó)外匯儲(chǔ)備面臨著越來越大的挑戰(zhàn)。 本文再以新加坡為例,分析外匯儲(chǔ)備管理的國(guó)際案例及對(duì)我國(guó)的啟示 。因此,通過對(duì)新加坡外匯儲(chǔ)備管理經(jīng)驗(yàn)的分析,可以得到更為實(shí)用的經(jīng)驗(yàn)和啟示。 關(guān)鍵詞 :外匯儲(chǔ)備 投資保值 儲(chǔ)備貨幣 債券 THE RESEARCH FOR INVESTMENT ON CHINA39。s accumulation of foreign exchange reserves began to increase, and headed into a more rapid growth period after 2020. Since the year 2020, the volume of China39。s foreign exchange reserves had amounted at billion . dollars. After China39。s foreign exchange reserves have been changing in phases. In the first period, they are not enough. In the second period, they are moderate whereas in the last period, they are excessive and they increase fast. The redundant reserves will be benefit to the economy, meet the demand of purchasing foreign goods, keep the reputation of China and avoid financial risks. However, the overdue reserves may lead to economic bubble, instable economy as well as opportunity cost. This essay will demonstrate the current Chinese foreign exchange reserve and present the situation of the investment. And after analysing the causes of the formation of present situation, it will point out some issues we are confronting to the low foreign exchange reserve yields,the scale of foreign exchange reserves is too much rapid expansion of China39。s foreign exchange reserves will then devalue, which resulting in the loss of foreign exchange reserves. At the time when the pressure of the appreciation of Renminbi is great, dollar will devalue owing to the appreciation of Renminbi. And in the long term, China39。s foreign exchange reserves,basing on ratio analysis method and the analytic hierarchy process, bining qualitative and quantitative analysis, this paper will discuss investment value optimizational direction and figure out some corresponding policy. Key Words: Foreign exchange reserves , Investment Reserve currency Bonds 目 錄 中文摘要 ABSTRACT 第 1 章 緒 論 ....................................................... 1 研究背景 及意義 ........................................... 1 研究思路與主要內(nèi)容 ....................................... 1 創(chuàng)新點(diǎn)與不足 ............................................. 2 第 2 章 我國(guó)外匯儲(chǔ)備投資現(xiàn)狀 ........................................ 3 我國(guó)外匯儲(chǔ)備的現(xiàn)狀及問題 ................................ 3 我國(guó)外匯儲(chǔ)備現(xiàn)狀 .................................. 3 我國(guó)外匯儲(chǔ)備現(xiàn)狀的形成 ............................ 4 我國(guó)外匯儲(chǔ)備現(xiàn)狀下存在的問題 ...................... 5 我國(guó)外匯儲(chǔ)備投資現(xiàn)狀及主要問題 ......
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