【正文】 受此影響，二季度淡水養(yǎng)殖產(chǎn)品供給趨于偏緊。畜牧水產(chǎn)養(yǎng)殖業(yè)發(fā)展需要油脂油料產(chǎn)業(yè)的支持，油脂油料產(chǎn)業(yè)的發(fā)展需要畜牧水產(chǎn)養(yǎng)殖業(yè)的拉動(dòng)。 ? 水產(chǎn)品進(jìn)口呈高速增長(zhǎng)趨勢(shì)。 To forecast for the whole year, the abovementioned disasters did not make very heavy damages to the production capacity of aquatic farming, and farmers’ zeal were not affected. Due to quick reconstruction and supplementing fries in time after the disasters, total supply of aquatic production would be sufficient for the whole year. 三、飼料工業(yè)生產(chǎn)情況和生產(chǎn)預(yù)測(cè) Situation and Forecast of the Production of Feed （一）生產(chǎn)情況 Situation of the production of feed ? 2021年第一季度，飼料行業(yè)克服了原料價(jià)格持續(xù)上漲和南方冰雪災(zāi)害等不利因素的影響，總體上保持了快速穩(wěn)定發(fā)展的勢(shì)頭。農(nóng)業(yè)部跟蹤監(jiān)測(cè)表明，當(dāng)前畜牧業(yè)生產(chǎn)形勢(shì)總體向好。 二、漁業(yè)生產(chǎn)情況和生產(chǎn)預(yù)測(cè) Situation and Forecast of the Production of Fishery （二）水產(chǎn)品貿(mào)易形勢(shì)日趨復(fù)雜 Trade situation of aquatic products is being more and more plicated. ? 一般貿(mào)易和來(lái)進(jìn)料加工出口均呈下降趨勢(shì)。 As for regional development, 11 provinces in West China enjoy the highest average growth rate reaching %, while 10 provinces in East China is of %, and 3 provinces in Northeast China and 6 provinces in Central China are of %. 三、飼料工業(yè)生產(chǎn)情況和生產(chǎn)預(yù)測(cè) Situation and Forecast of the Production of Feed （二）一季度飼料工業(yè)運(yùn)行特點(diǎn)： The operation of feed industry in the first quarter of this year shows the following characteristics: ? 生產(chǎn)快速發(fā)展 Production develops quickly ? 成本持續(xù)增加 Costs persistently rise ? 克服冰凍雪災(zāi)沖擊 Impacts of snow and ice storm disasters have been overe 三、飼料工業(yè)生產(chǎn)情況和生產(chǎn)預(yù)測(cè) Situation and Forecast of the Production of Feed （三）存在問(wèn)題 Problems in feed production ? 產(chǎn)品質(zhì)量安全隱患依然存在 ? 國(guó)家原糧價(jià)格對(duì)國(guó)內(nèi)飼料原料供應(yīng)沖擊力度明顯加大 ? 企業(yè)數(shù)量多規(guī)模小競(jìng)爭(zhēng)力不強(qiáng) 三、飼料工業(yè)生產(chǎn)情況和生產(chǎn)預(yù)測(cè) Situation and Forecast of the Production of Feed ? 預(yù)計(jì) 2021年飼料工業(yè)將在去年全國(guó)飼料總產(chǎn)量 噸的基礎(chǔ)上，繼續(xù)呈現(xiàn)出產(chǎn)量增長(zhǎng)、結(jié)構(gòu)優(yōu)化、企業(yè)規(guī)模擴(kuò)大、行業(yè)整合加速、產(chǎn)業(yè)素質(zhì)提升的良好發(fā)展勢(shì)頭，全年工業(yè)飼料總產(chǎn)量將超過(guò) 。 一、畜牧業(yè)生產(chǎn)情況和生產(chǎn)預(yù)測(cè) Situation and Forecast of the Production of Stock Raising 類別 同比增長(zhǎng)率（％） 環(huán)比增長(zhǎng)率（％） 總存欄量 能繁母豬存欄 規(guī)模養(yǎng)殖戶 生豬存欄 散養(yǎng)戶生豬存欄 表 一、畜牧業(yè)生產(chǎn)情況和生產(chǎn)預(yù)測(cè) Situation and Forecast of the Production of Stock Raising 類別 同比增長(zhǎng)率（％） 環(huán)比增長(zhǎng)率（％） 總出欄量 － 規(guī)模養(yǎng)殖戶出欄 散戶出欄 表 一、畜牧業(yè)生產(chǎn)情況和生產(chǎn)預(yù)測(cè) Situation and Forecast of the Production of Stock Raising 類 別 價(jià) 格 （元 /公斤） 同比增長(zhǎng)率（％） 環(huán)比增長(zhǎng)率（％） 仔豬 － 活豬 － 豬肉 － 表 一、畜牧業(yè)生產(chǎn)情況和生產(chǎn)預(yù)測(cè) Situation and Forecast of the Productio