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significance and research content. Chapter II analyses several typical Expos and its economic impacts on host cities from different aspects. Chapter III reviews the theories of Expo economy and introduces the concept, characteristics and economic value position of World Expo. Chapter IV analyses the economic impacts to Shanghai of 20xx Shanghai World Expo from positive impacts and negative impacts. The last chapter concludes the paper and makes some suggestions. First, the paper introduces the theories of Expo economy and analyses the impacts to Shanghai city of World Expo 20xx Shanghai China form positive impacts and negative impacts. The positive impacts include direct and indirect effects. The direct impacts are prise of directly stimulating economic growth, promoting job growth, promoting the development of related industries, improving infrastructure and creating more open environment. Indirectly affects consist of promoting regional 上海理工大學(xué)畢業(yè)設(shè)計(jì)(論文 ) III economic development, restructuring industry, upgrading human capital. The negative impacts include the crowdingout effects, boosting the real estate bubble formation, the interests loss of nonbeneficiary groups and the idle and excess facilities. Finally, I bring forward some measures and advises aiming at the negative impacts. Keywords: World Expo World Expo Economy GDP Crowdingout Effects 上海理工大學(xué)畢業(yè)設(shè)計(jì)(論文 ) i 目 錄 摘 要 .............................................................................................................................I Abstract ......................................................................................................................... II 第 1 章 緒 論 ............................................................................................................ 1 課題的研究背景 ........................................................................................... 1 課題的研究意義 ........................................................................................... 2 世界博覽會(huì)簡(jiǎn)介 ............................................................................... 3 舉辦世博會(huì)的意義 ........................................................................... 5 課題的研究?jī)?nèi)容 ........................................................................................... 8 第 2 章 歷屆世博會(huì)對(duì)經(jīng)濟(jì)的影響分析 .................................................................... 9 促進(jìn)主辦城市的經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展 ........................................................................... 9 歷史上最成功的世博會(huì) ——大阪世博會(huì) ....................................... 9 漢諾威的經(jīng)濟(jì)效益和社會(huì)效益 ..................................................... 10 世博會(huì)對(duì) GDP 的影響 ................................................................... 13 改善舉辦城市的基礎(chǔ)建設(shè) ......................................................................... 13 漢諾威的 “世界項(xiàng)目 ” ..................................................................... 14 世博會(huì)改變了城市面貌 ................................................................. 14 世博會(huì)建設(shè)的重中之中 ................................................................. 15 促進(jìn)舉辦國(guó)就業(yè)增長(zhǎng) ................................................................................. 15 大阪就業(yè)率的持續(xù)上升 ................................................................. 15 世博會(huì)創(chuàng)造的就業(yè)機(jī)會(huì) ................................................................. 16 推動(dòng)產(chǎn)業(yè)升級(jí)和創(chuàng)新 ................................................................................. 16 韓國(guó)的新技術(shù) ................................................................................. 16 塞維利亞科技園區(qū) ......................................................................... 17 漢諾威 ——國(guó)際會(huì)展之城 ............................................................. 17 新奧爾良 ——美國(guó)城市旅游的領(lǐng)頭羊 ......................................... 17 強(qiáng)化周邊經(jīng)濟(jì)合作 ..................................................................................... 18 日本關(guān)西經(jīng)濟(jì)帶 ............................................................................. 18 西班牙馬德里 —塞維利亞高速火車 ............................................. 19 第 3 章 世博經(jīng)濟(jì)效益的構(gòu)成及其價(jià)值分析 .......................................................... 20 世博經(jīng)濟(jì)的構(gòu)成及其影響范圍 ................................................................. 20 世博經(jīng)濟(jì) ......................................................................................... 20 世博經(jīng)濟(jì)的構(gòu)成 ............................................................................. 20 世博經(jīng)濟(jì)影響范圍 ......................................................................... 21 世博經(jīng)濟(jì)的特性 ......................................................................................... 22 參與要素的多元性 ......................................................................... 22 舉辦過(guò)程的階 段性 ......................................................................... 22 促進(jìn)經(jīng)濟(jì)的聯(lián)動(dòng)性 ......................................................................... 23 產(chǎn)業(yè)影響的非均衡性 ..................................................................... 23 投資回報(bào)的長(zhǎng)效性 ......................................................................... 24 世博會(huì)的經(jīng)濟(jì)價(jià)值 ..................................................................................... 24 世博會(huì)與城市觸媒理論 ................................................................. 24 世博會(huì)與增長(zhǎng)極理論 ..................................................................... 25 上海世博會(huì)后對(duì)上海國(guó)內(nèi)生產(chǎn)總值持續(xù)拉動(dòng)效應(yīng)分析 ii 第 4 章 20xx 年上海世博會(huì)對(duì)上海國(guó)內(nèi)生產(chǎn)總值的影響分析 ............................. 26 20xx 年上海世博會(huì)對(duì)上海經(jīng)濟(jì)的直接正面影響 ..................................... 26 拉動(dòng)上海經(jīng)濟(jì)增 長(zhǎng) ......................................................................... 26 促進(jìn)上海就業(yè)增長(zhǎng) ......................................................................... 27 影響上海重點(diǎn)相關(guān)產(chǎn)業(yè) ................................................................. 29 改善上海交通基礎(chǔ)設(shè)施 .............