【正文】 significance and research content. Chapter II analyses several typical Expos and its economic impacts on host cities from different aspects. Chapter III reviews the theories of Expo economy and introduces the concept, characteristics and economic value position of World Expo. Chapter IV analyses the economic impacts to Shanghai of 20xx Shanghai World Expo from positive impacts and negative impacts. The last chapter concludes the paper and makes some suggestions. First， the paper introduces the theories of Expo economy and analyses the impacts to Shanghai city of World Expo 20xx Shanghai China form positive impacts and negative impacts. The positive impacts include direct and indirect effects. The direct impacts are prise of directly stimulating economic growth, promoting job growth, promoting the development of related industries， improving infrastructure and creating more open environment. Indirectly affects consist of promoting regional 上海理工大學(xué)畢業(yè)設(shè)計（論文 ） III economic development, restructuring industry, upgrading human capital. The negative impacts include the crowdingout effects， boosting the real estate bubble formation, the interests loss of nonbeneficiary groups and the idle and excess facilities. Finally, I bring forward some measures and advises aiming at the negative impacts. Keywords: World Expo World Expo Economy GDP Crowdingout Effects 上海理工大學(xué)畢業(yè)設(shè)計（論文 ） i 目 錄 摘 要 .............................................................................................................................I Abstract ......................................................................................................................... II 第 1 章 緒 論 ............................................................................................................ 1 課題的研究背景 ........................................................................................... 1 課題的研究意義 ........................................................................................... 2 世界博覽會簡介 ............................................................................... 3 舉辦世博會的意義 ........................................................................... 5 課題的研究內(nèi)容 ........................................................................................... 8 第 2 章 歷屆世博會對經(jīng)濟的影響分析 .................................................................... 9 促進主辦城市的經(jīng)濟發(fā)展 ........................................................................... 9 歷史上最成功的世博會 ——大阪世博會 ....................................... 9 漢諾威的經(jīng)濟效益和社會效益 ..................................................... 10 世博會對 GDP 的影響 ................................................................... 13 改善舉辦城市的基礎(chǔ)建設(shè) ......................................................................... 13 漢諾威的 “世界項目 ” ..................................................................... 14 世博會改變了城市面貌 ................................................................. 14 世博會建設(shè)的重中之中 ................................................................. 15 促進舉辦國就業(yè)增長 ................................................................................. 15 大阪就業(yè)率的持續(xù)上升 ................................................................. 15 世博會創(chuàng)造的就業(yè)機會 ................................................................. 16 推動產(chǎn)業(yè)升級和創(chuàng)新 ................................................................................. 16 韓國的新技術(shù) ................................................................................. 16 塞維利亞科技園區(qū) ......................................................................... 17 漢諾威 ——國際會展之城 ............................................................. 17 新奧爾良 ——美國城市旅游的領(lǐng)頭羊 ......................................... 17 強化周邊經(jīng)濟合作 ..................................................................................... 18 日本關(guān)西經(jīng)濟帶 ............................................................................. 18 西班牙馬德里 —塞維利亞高速火車 ............................................. 19 第 3 章 世博經(jīng)濟效益的構(gòu)成及其價值分析 .......................................................... 20 世博經(jīng)濟的構(gòu)成及其影響范圍 ................................................................. 20 世博經(jīng)濟 ......................................................................................... 20 世博經(jīng)濟的構(gòu)成 ............................................................................. 20 世博經(jīng)濟影響范圍 ......................................................................... 21 世博經(jīng)濟的特性 ......................................................................................... 22 參與要素的多元性 ......................................................................... 22 舉辦過程的階 段性 ......................................................................... 22 促進經(jīng)濟的聯(lián)動性 ......................................................................... 23 產(chǎn)業(yè)影響的非均衡性 ..................................................................... 23 投資回報的長效性 ......................................................................... 24 世博會的經(jīng)濟價值 ..................................................................................... 24 世博會與城市觸媒理論 ................................................................. 24 世博會與增長極理論 ..................................................................... 25 上海世博會后對上海國內(nèi)生產(chǎn)總值持續(xù)拉動效應(yīng)分析 ii 第 4 章 20xx 年上海世博會對上海國內(nèi)生產(chǎn)總值的影響分析 ............................. 26 20xx 年上海世博會對上海經(jīng)濟的直接正面影響 ..................................... 26 拉動上海經(jīng)濟增 長 ......................................................................... 26 促進上海就業(yè)增長 ......................................................................... 27 影響上海重點相關(guān)產(chǎn)業(yè) ................................................................. 29 改善上海交通基礎(chǔ)設(shè)施 .............