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摩根斯坦利-關(guān)于汽車(chē)的報(bào)告(ppt67)英文-汽車(chē)-全文預(yù)覽

  

【正文】 4 .5 % 2 .6 % 1 .9 % 1 .0 %5 .0 %7 .9 % 8 .0 % 4 .0 % 0 .0 % 4 .0 % 8 .0 %M in iva nS p o r t W a g o nL u x u r y Ca rM id d le SUVS m a ll Pi ck u pS m a ll SU VL u x u r y SUVUS Dollar per Euro: Jan 03 Present Source: FactSet amp。 Man Stanley Research Y/Y Change in Monthly New Car CPI Source: CPI amp。 Man Stanley Research Peak Trough Now Jan02 Oct02 Nov03 Interest Rates Consumer Confidence Gasoline Prices Used Car Prices Employment Affordability Near 25 Year Best 171819202122231 Q 8 0 4 Q 8 3 3 Q 8 7 2 Q 9 1 1 Q 9 5 4 Q 9 8 3 Q 0 2Number of Weeks of Ine to Purchase a Vehicle Source: FRB amp。 Man Stanley Research Off Lease Vehicles Begin to Decline Source: Manheim amp。A FY2020E: OEMs Spending for Growth Source: Company data amp。 Man Stanley Research Global Sales Forecasts: 2020 2020 Source: Global Insight amp。 Co. International Limited, solely for the purposes of section 21 of the Financial Services and Markets Act 2020. Private . investors should obtain the advice of their Man Stanley amp。 in Spain by Man Stanley, .,., a Man Stanley group pany, which is supervised by the Spanish Securities Markets Commission (CNMV) and states that this document has been written and distributed in accordance with the rules of conduct applicable to financial research as established under Spanish regulations。 UP=Underperform. For definitions, please go to Analyst Industry Views Attractive (A). The analyst expects the performance of his or her industry coverage universe to be attractive vs. the relevant broad market benchmark over the next 1218 months. InLine (I). The analyst expects the performance of his or her industry coverage universe to be in line with the relevant broad market benchmark over the next 1218 months. Cautious (C). The analyst views the performance of his or her industry coverage universe with caution vs. the relevent broad market benchmark over the next 1218 months. Other Important Disclosures For a discussion, if applicable, of the valuation methods used to determine the price targets included in this summary and the risks related to achieving these targets, please refer to the latest relevant published research on these stocks. Research is available throught your sales representative or on Client Link at and other electronic systems. This report does not provide individually tailored investment advice. It has been prepared without regard to the individual financial circumstances and objectives of person who receive it. The securities discussed in this report may be suitable for all investors. Man Stanley remends that investors independently evaluate particular investments and strategies, and encourages investors to seek the advice of a financial adviser. The appropriateness of a particular investment or strategy will depend on an investor’s individual circumstances and objectives. This report is not an offer to buy or sell any security or to participate in any trading strategy. Man Stanley, Man Stanley DW Inc., affiliate panies their employees may have investments in securities or derivatives of securities of panies mentioned in this report, and may trade them in ways different from this discussed in this report. Derivatives may be issued by Man Stanley or associated persons. (Continued) Disclosures Man Stanley is involved in many businesses that may relate to panies mentioned in this report. These businesses include specialized trading, risk arbitrage and other proprietary trading, fund management, investment services and investment banking. Man Stanley makes every effort to use reliable, prehensive information, but we make no representation that it is accurate or plete. We have no obligation to tell you when opinions or information in this report change apart from when we intend to discontinue research coverage of subject pany. Reports prepared by Man Stanley research personnel are based on public information. Facts and views presented in this report have not been reviewed by, and may not reflect information known to, professionals in other Man Stanley business areas, including investment banking personnel. The value of and ine from your investments may vary because of changes in interest rates or foreign exchange rates, securities prices or market indexes, operational or financial conditions of panies or other factors. There may be time limitations on the exercise of options or other rights in your s ecurities transactions. Past performance is not necessarily a guide to future performance. Estimates of future performance are based on assumptions that may not be realized. This publication is disseminated in Japan by Man Stanley Japan Limited and/or Man Stanley Nippon Securities Limited。s) coverage universe, on a riskadjusted basis, over the next 1218 months. More volatile (V) We estimate that this stock has more than a 25% chance of a price move (up or down) of more than 25% in a month, based on a quantitative assessment of historical data, or in the analyst39。s industry (or industry team39。s total return is expected to exceed the average total return of the analyst39。 Co. Incorporated makes a market in the securities of Aftermarket Technology, Delphi, Dura Automotive, Ford, General Motors, Magna Intl., TBC and Tower Automotive. Global Stock Ratings Distribution (as of December 31, 2020) (Continued) C o v e r a g e U n i v e r s e I n v e s t m e n t B a n k i n g C l i e n t ( I B C )S t o c k R a t i n g C a t e g o r y C o u n t % o f t o t a l C o u n t % o f t o t a l I B C % o f R a t i n g C a t e g o r yO ve r w e i g h t 592 32 241 38 41E q u a l W e i g h t 856 46 287 46 34U n d e r w e i g h t 402 22 98 16T o t a l 1 , 8 5 0 626Disclosures Data include mon stock and ADRs currently assigned ratings. For disclosure purposes (in accordance
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